The SNP and the Scottish Greens could finalise an agreement to share power in Scotland as early as Friday. It comes as arguments for Scottish independence are strengthened by the pandemic, Scottish Finance Secretary Kate Forbes has claimed.
The PA news agency understands a meeting of the Scottish cabinet will take place on Friday morning with a deal on power sharing close to being agreed.
The two parties have been locked in negotiations since May, after the SNP fell one seat short of an overall majority at the Holyrood elections, and a deal could see the Greens in national government for the first time in the UK.
While both parties have said there will not be a formal coalition between the two, an agreement would see them work together on key issues, and could even see some Green MSPs appointed as ministers in Nicola Sturgeon’s government.
On Sunday, Scottish Greens co-leader Patrick Harvie said the two parties had been “trying to finish off those last bits of discussion”.
Asked about the widely mooted co-operation deal, Mr Harvie resisted going into any details but told the BBC: “Everybody is very keen to know the outcome, I don’t think you have very long to wait.
“If we do agree something with the SNP it won’t be put into practice until our party members have had a vote … we’re trying to finish off those last bits of discussion.
“I hope very soon we’ll be able to publish something.”
A “New Zealand-style” co-operation deal has been discussed by Scottish civil servants, according to an email seen by the PA news agency.
The message, sent to members of the Scottish Greens earlier this month, said a New Zealand model, which has seen Green Party MPs in that country take on ministerial portfolios while not being in an official coalition, is being considered by civil servants and Government lawyers.
The Scottish Tories and Labour have raised concerns about any deal.
Scottish Tory net zero spokesman Liam Kerr said the Green manifesto from May’s election was a “doctrine to start a war on working Scotland”, after it proposed a move away from North Sea oil and gas, and the end of new road-building projects.
Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar has challenged the Greens to stand against further cuts to council budgets.
He said: “If the Greens are to be anything more than simply the SNP’s lackeys, they need to rediscover their principles and fight for a greener Scotland rather than roll over to the SNP every time the going gets tough.”
A spokesman for the Scottish Greens said: “It’s no surprise that parties only interested in scoring political points would be alarmed about any suggestion of co-operation in the interests of people and planet.
“People vote Green to get results, and over the last five years the Scottish Greens have achieved more from our manifesto than Labour and the Tories combined. We will continue to do that, whatever happens.”
A spokesman for the First Minister said: “Following the SNP’s record landslide election win in May, the First Minister extended an open invitation to all parties to discuss areas where they thought they could work closely with the SNP in Government for the common good – in the face of the extraordinary challenges facing us such as the climate emergency and recovering from the pandemic.
“The fact that Labour and the Tories chose not to pursue that offer says far more about them than anyone else.”
Pandemic independence
Arguments for Scottish independence are strengthened by the pandemic, Scottish Finance Secretary Kate Forbes has claimed.
Ms Forbes spoke after new figures showed Scotland’s deficit more than doubled last year amid the impact of coronavirus.
The deficit was 22.4% of GDP in 2020/21, the highest ever recorded by the Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland (Gers) figures.
Opponents of independence say the higher public spending shows the extent of the UK Government’s support during the pandemic.
But speaking to journalists following the release of the Gers figures on Wednesday, Ms Forbes said: “I think the arguments for independence are strengthened through the pandemic.
“Three years ago, when the figures for the notional deficit were around 7% or 8%, similar questions were asked around whether or not Scotland could truly be successful as an independent country.
“The UK’s deficit right now – as a result of an unprecedented shock – is about 14%, the highest in Europe.
“The fundamental difference is that we assume the UK Government will manage that position down, because of the levers at its control.
“Partly growing the economy, and partly managing its finances in a prudent and a sustainable manner.”
Questioned whether Scotland was better-off financially as part of the United Kingdom – with public spending on Scotland £1,828 higher per person greater than the UK average – Ms Forbes added: “I’ve repeatedly said that I’m grateful for the additional money that’s come from the UK Government.
“That’s been our only source because we can’t borrow, like any other country would borrow, to fund these extraordinary measures.
“So the only source is the UK Government treasury borrowing, but be under no illusions, the Scottish people will pay back that borrowing just as much as anybody in any other part of the UK.
“This is not free money, this is not international aid bestowed upon us by an over-generous UK Government. This is money they have borrowed to fund interventions because they have held on to the powers entirely themselves.”
She said the Scottish Government will continue to focus on growing the economy but the impact of coronavirus makes it difficult to forecast the future.
Discussing how an independent Scotland would manage the deficit, she said: “There would be decisions made in the immediate aftermath of an independence vote, during a transition, as to how we manage our public finances.”
Asked how quickly the deficit could be reduced, she said: “This is not the Scottish Government’s deficit, this is a notional deficit, where 40% of spend and 70% of tax is reserved to the UK Government
“When it comes to the event of independence, we would know what our starting position is and want to manage our finances in a sustainable fashion as quickly as possible.”
Pressed on the cost of borrowing for an independent Scotland, she said the new country would have to establish infrastructure such as a debt management office and receive a credit rating.
She acknowledged “uninhibited borrowing on open markets” would be a “very different position” to her request for more borrowing powers from the UK’s national loans fund.
Speaking to the PA news agency, Ms Forbes said becoming independent had not caused “economic turmoil” for other countries and added: “There is a transition process to go through to become an independent country – you need a central bank, you need to establish your infrastructure.
“Nobody’s saying that you don’t, you go through that process, but there’s not anything inherent in the Scottish economy that would prevent us from borrowing because markets want to see the relative strength of the Scottish economy.
“We are just as strong when it comes to the fundamentals of our economy as any other small advanced economy.”
Related: Sturgeon to strike pro-independence cooperation pact with Scottish Greens