Politics

Mordaunt, Truss and Rees-Mogg now expected to lose their seats

Conservative MPs Penny Mordaunt, Liz Truss and Jacob Rees-Mogg have drifted significantly in William Hill’s betting in the last few weeks, and are now behind Labour in their respective constituencies.

Mordaunt was 8/11 to hold her seat of Portsmouth North but is now 7/4 behind Labour’s Amanda Martin, who has shortened from even-money into 2/5 in the same period.

Even more dramatically, Truss’ odds of retaining South West Norfolk have swung from an odds-on 1/4 last month to 6/5 now, placing her behind Labour candidate Terry Jermy, who is priced at 8/11 having been 11/10 last month.

Rees-Mogg has held the North East Somerset and Hanham seat since its creation in 2010, but may have to relinquish control, as he’s drifted to 10/3 from 13/8 a few weeks ago, with Labour firm favourites at 1/5.

Spokesperson for William Hill, Lee Phelps, said: “With talk of a Labour landslide since the General Election was announced in May we would have expected to see a bit of a Conservative revival, especially among their big name MPs in southern constituencies where they are historically strong.

“However, if anything, the opposite has occurred, and confidence appears low in key figures like Penny Mordaunt, Liz Truss and Jacob Rees-Mogg, who have all drifted in the betting in the last few weeks, so much so that they are now predicted to lose their seats to Labour.

“Truss has seen the most marked drift, out from 1/4 at the beginning of June to her current odds of 6/5, while Mordaunt is 7/4 from 8/11, and the Tories could lose control of North East Somerset and Hanham for the first time, with Rees-Mogg out to 10/3 in the betting from 13/8.”

Portsmouth North odds

Labour2/5
Conservatives (Penny Mordaunt)7/4
Reform UK16/1
Liberal Democrats150/1
Green Party150/1

South West Norfolk odds

Labour8/11
Conservatives (Liz Truss)6/5
Independent16/1
Reform UK22/1
Liberal Democrats250/1
Green Party250/1

North East Somerset and Hanham odds

Labour1/5
Conservatives (Jacob Rees-Mogg)10/3
Reform UK20/1
Liberal Democrats33/1
Green Party150/1

Related: Final MRP poll drops and shows Tories are headed for historic defeat

Jack Peat

Jack is a business and economics journalist and the founder of The London Economic (TLE). He has contributed articles to VICE, Huffington Post and Independent and is a published author. Jack read History at the University of Wales, Bangor and has a Masters in Journalism from the University of Newcastle-upon-Tyne.

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